True: The longest period without a documented outbreak that killed at least 10,000 people in the past four centuries was four years., Viruses are considered prime candidates to cause the next big pandemic., The likelihood of living through at least one more COVID-19 level pandemic in the next 75 years is 78%., Early warning systems, contact tracing, and other public health measures saved over a million lives in the first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US., The probability tree diagram shows that there is only a 22% chance of living a pandemic-free lifetime over 75 years., Even if the yearly probability of a COVID-19 level pandemic is 1%, it is possible to have another one in 10 years., False: The probability of a COVID-19 level pandemic occurring is estimated to be about 5% per year., The text claims that pandemics are usually predictable and dependent events., Scientists estimate there are about 1.7 billion undiscovered viruses that could potentially infect humans., The text suggests that nothing can be done to change the probabilities of future pandemics.,
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The Next Pandemic: Predictions And Outbreaks
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